ASX Charting Course


Chapter 7

Flags

Flags are yet another variation of a correction to a trend. Rather than focus on a point they tend to be rhomboidal in shape with the support and resistance lines being close to parallel. There are two forms the bull flag and the bear flag.

Bear Flag

The bear flag occurs as the result of a correction to a down move and generally slopes up against the underlying down trend.

Construction is quite straightforward and is possible once the correction starts to take on the shape of a flag. The overhead line is drawn first across the tops of the corrective price bars. That sets the angle for the flag and the angle for the bottom support line, which won’t always pick up the extreme low as in the example below.

This shape generally produces a new move lower. A sell signal is generated when price breaks down out above the flag and is the preferred direction. A buy signal would be generated on a breakout above the high side of the flag. Even so the probability of continuation higher is not as high as the probability for continuation to the down side in the event of a break of the flag.


fig 11 © Copyright 2003 CQG, Inc. All rights reserved worldwide

Bull Flag

The bull flag signals higher prices and generally occurs as the result of a correction to an up move.

Drawing the support line first, after recognising the basic shape of the flag effects construction. The overhead resistance line can either be drawn parallel or at best fit, close to parallel. In the example below I’ve used a line of best fit and therefore displayed a slightly skewed flag.

The trading signal is generated on any move out of the flag, higher or lower. There is a greater possibility however, for the market to breakout and rally than there is for the market to breakdown and continue to lower prices.


Fig 12 © Copyright 2003 CQG, Inc. All rights reserved worldwide


Craig MacLean is a Futures Adviser Licensed under the Australian Securities Commission, Corporations Law. The writer accepts no responsibility for any losses incurred from any action or inaction derived from the advice in this report.