ASX Charting Course |
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Single Bar Formations
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It’s the length of the tail relative to the body that creates the signal. The tail could be viewed as a sign of rejection of lower prices and therefore a possible reversal of the trend. Taken alone it’s not really a definitive signal and therefore it’s a good idea to seek confirmation with some sort of an up day signal, the following day. The stronger the up day signal, the better. Volume can also be used to ascertain the probability of a turn around, in this case and increase in volume. Hanging man
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In this case a probe against the trend appears to have been rejected. It’s hard to imagine how the same formation, could generate opposite signals. It’s not just the location at the end of a trend that creates or generates the signal. It’s the indecision of the market and a potential corresponding change that is being signalled by this formation, in both of the above cases. The close proximity of the open and closing prices relative to the range, which in both cases is extreme on the downside, reflect a market that is relatively undecided about direction. If this occurs at the end of a trend, up or down, it would then stand to reason that a potential change is being signalled.
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Craig MacLean is a Futures Adviser Licensed under the Australian Securities Commission, Corporations Law. The writer accepts no responsibility for any losses incurred from any action or inaction derived from the advice in this report. |
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